AI Due Diligence Statistics (2026)

AI due diligence is the use of AI agents to read a deal's data room, check the numbers against the source documents and draft findings that link back to their evidence. This page collects the figures behind it for private equity and private credit teams, each linked to its original source.

Updated 10 November 2026. 111 figures from 86 sources, reviewed every quarter. Free to cite with a link.

The numbers at a glance

Twelve figures that frame AI in private markets diligence this year. Each one is set out in full, with its source, further down the page.

  • Deal professionals using AI in early-stage or outside-in diligence

    SS&C Intralinks with Reuters Insights, 2026. Details

  • Organisations deploying agentic AI in due diligence and valuation

    KPMG International, 2026. Details

  • Legal professionals using at least one AI tool

    Wolters Kluwer, 2026. Details

  • Best AI score on Vals AI's benchmark of analyst research tasks over SEC filings

    Vals AI, 2026. Details

  • Deal professionals reporting hallucinated AI outputs that led to inaccurate diligence

    SS&C Intralinks with Reuters Insights, 2026. Details

  • Speed gain from AI once review and rework time are counted

    OpenAI (Patwardhan et al.), 2025. Details

  • Files in a data room for a $100 million to $500 million deal

    Peony, 2026. Details

  • Share of M&A professionals naming diligence issues as the top process factor in disputes

    BRG, 2026. Details

  • GPs naming diligence red flags as the top reason a pursued deal did not close

    Bain & Company and StepStone, 2026. Details

  • Record sponsor-backed M&A in the first nine months of 2026

    LSEG, 2026. Details

  • Global private credit assets at the end of 2025, up 17% for a second year

    AIMA and the Alternative Credit Council, 2026. Details

  • Employees who upload company information into public AI tools

    University of Melbourne and KPMG, 2025. Details

What the numbers say

Eight patterns that run across the sources below, each drawn from figures on this page.

  • Adoption runs ahead of integration

    84% of senior deal professionals use AI in early-stage diligence, but 5% of private equity leaders have fully integrated AI into operations and 24% report revenue growth from it.

  • Accuracy is the open question

    The best AI models score between 69.5% and 77.4% on the leading public benchmarks of finance work, and 40% of senior deal professionals report hallucinated AI outputs that led to inaccurate diligence.

  • Review time decides the gain

    In OpenAI's GDPval study, counting the time to check and redo AI work cut GPT-5's speed advantage over experts from about 90 times to between 1.12 and 1.39 times.

  • Each deal means thousands of files

    A data room for a $100 million to $500 million deal held about 6,622 files on Peony's platform, and deal teams on Ideals spent an average of 237 hours in the data room per deal in the first half of 2026.

  • Missed issues come back after closing

    46% of M&A professionals named due diligence issues as the most prevalent process factor in 2025 M&A disputes, and about 29% of private-target deals saw the buyer's purchase price adjustment disputed after closing.

  • Deal values are up while deal counts fall

    Global M&A reached $3.9 trillion in the first nine months of 2026, up 28%, while the number of deals fell 8% to its lowest since 2020. Sponsor-backed M&A reached a record $891 billion.

  • Credit risk sits below the headline default rate

    Proskauer's private credit default index stood at 2.41% in the third quarter of 2026, while 10% of private market loans carried payment-in-kind interest and recoveries on restructured direct loans fell to 45 cents on the dollar in 2025.

  • Data security is the first AI risk in finance

    80% of financial services leaders name data privacy and security among the AI risks that concern them most, and 48% of employees in a global study report uploading company information into public AI tools.

How private equity uses AI in due diligence

Most deal teams now use AI somewhere in diligence: 84% of senior deal professionals in one 2026 study use it in early-stage diligence, and 56% of organisations deploy agentic AI in due diligence and valuation. Measured returns lag adoption, with 24% of private equity leaders reporting revenue growth from AI.

Companies investing in generative AI for M&A workShare of companies

20242026

Companies investing in generative AI for M&A work
Pre-deal work31%46%
Post-deal work18%27%

Source: Accenture, The dawn of the agentic deal, March 2026.

  • 56% of organisations deploy agentic AI in due diligence and valuation, and 53% in deal sourcing and strategy.

    Source: KPMG International, 2026 Global M&A Outlook Survey, March 2026. 700 senior M&A decision-makers, 519 at corporates and 181 at private equity firms, in 20 countries, surveyed from December 2025 to January 2026.

  • 50% of dealmakers have AI regularly embedded in due diligence, and 62% say human-only decision-making is no longer defensible in complex transactions.

    Source: Datasite with FT Longitude, The New Deal Team, June 2026. 1,000 C-suite and senior dealmakers in 27 countries, surveyed in March 2026.

  • 70% of US private equity buyout professionals rank diligence synthesis among the top three areas where AI raises productivity. Respondents report an average 28% productivity improvement from AI use.

    Source: L.E.K. Consulting, PE Pulse 2026, July 2026. 100 US private equity buyout professionals, surveyed in April 2026.

  • 40% of private equity GPs say generative AI's return on investment is highest in due diligence, across legal, financial and commercial work, ahead of 33% for deal sourcing and market mapping.

    Source: Bain & Company and StepStone, Private Equity's Reality Check: The GP Outlook for 2026, March 2026. 103 investment and investor relations professionals, surveyed from December 2025 to January 2026. Respondents chose one area.

  • 46% of companies invest in generative AI for pre-deal M&A work in 2026, up from 31% in 2024. For post-deal work the share is 27%, up from 18%.

    Source: Accenture, The dawn of the agentic deal, March 2026. 650 senior corporate development and private equity dealmakers in 24 countries, surveyed in January 2026.

  • 45% of M&A executives now rely on AI tools, after adoption more than doubled in 2025.

    Source: Bain & Company, M&A Report 2026, January 2026. More than 300 M&A executives.

  • 95% of private equity funds report AI initiatives meeting or exceeding their original business case.

    Source: FTI Consulting, 2026 Private Equity AI Radar, May 2026. 200 fund and operating leaders.

  • 24% of private equity leaders report revenue growth from AI, and 5% have fully integrated AI into operations, against 14% across all industries.

    Source: Grant Thornton, 2026 AI Impact Survey Report, April 2026. 950 leaders surveyed from 23 February to 18 March 2026, including a private equity group of 100. Grant Thornton treats the private equity findings as directional.

How the rest of finance uses AI

Most financial institutions now use AI: 86% of UK financial firms and more than 90% of banks supervised by the ECB use it, and 95% of alternative fund managers use generative AI. Use is uneven below the headline: 45% of EU securities market firms have no AI use case in production or development, and only 6% of asset managers use AI for decision-making.

UK financial firms using AIShare of firms surveyed
UK financial firms using AI
202258%
202475%
202686%

Source: Bank of England and FCA, Artificial intelligence in UK financial services 2026, October 2026. The regulators note that the samples differ between survey years.

  • 86% of UK financial firms use AI, up from 75% in 2024 and 58% in 2022, and every responding UK and international bank uses it. Generative AI accounts for 56% of the AI systems firms report.

    Source: Bank of England and FCA, Artificial intelligence in UK financial services 2026, October 2026. 196 firms including banks, insurers, asset and wealth managers. The regulators note the 2024 and 2026 samples differ.

  • 80% of UK financial firms have AI agents deployed and a further 14% plan to within a year, but only 2% give agents broad autonomy. Most deployed agents recommend actions for people to decide on and carry out.

    Source: Bank of England and FCA, Artificial intelligence in UK financial services 2026, October 2026. 105 firms that completed the full survey.

  • 85% of banks supervised directly by the ECB use generative AI, and more than 90% have integrated AI into their operations. Risk mitigation, led by fraud and cybercrime prevention, is the most important use, followed by customer support and credit scoring.

    Source: ECB Banking Supervision, Digital innovation: hindrance or booster for banks' business models? (speech by Claudia Buch), September 2026. ECB supervisory data, cited by the Chair of the Supervisory Board.

  • 45% of EU securities market firms have no AI use case in production or in development, rising to 53% of investment firms and investment managers. Of 342 firms reporting on the challenges of deploying AI, 51% cite hallucinations.

    Source: ESMA, AI adoption and trends in securities markets: EU evidence, March 2026. Survey by ESMA and national authorities in the third quarter of 2025, with more than 700 responses, including 277 investment managers and 264 investment firms.

  • Almost 65% of European insurers already use generative AI and a further 23% plan to within three years. Data privacy and security, regulatory compliance and a lack of skilled staff are the most significant reported challenges.

    Source: EIOPA, Generative AI Market Survey: Outlook, Use Cases and Risk Management, February 2026. 347 insurers in 25 EU and EEA countries, reporting as of the second quarter of 2025.

  • Around 50% of Swiss financial institutions use AI or have initial applications in development, and a further 25% intend to within three years. 91% of those using AI also use generative AI.

    Source: FINMA, Survey on artificial intelligence, April 2025. About 400 banks, securities firms, insurers, fund managers and market infrastructures, surveyed November 2024 to January 2025. The latest edition.

  • Only 6% of asset managers say they use AI for decision-making, although 55% have integrated it into at least one strategy's investment process. 69% name data quality or access as the main barrier to further adoption.

    Source: Mercer, 2026 AI in Asset Management Survey, 2026. Online survey of 131 asset managers, February to March 2026.

  • 95% of alternative investment fund managers use generative AI in their work, up from 86% in 2023.

    Source: AIMA, Charting the course: Lessons from AI leaders in alternative investments, September 2025. 150 fund managers with about $788 billion in assets, plus 18 institutional investors.

  • Active use of AI in finance functions rose to 75% from 30% in 2024, and 36% of organisations name data quality as both their biggest barrier and their biggest opportunity.

    Source: KPMG, 2026 Global AI in Finance: The Decision Advantage, May 2026. 1,013 C-suite and senior finance leaders at organisations with revenue of at least $250 million ($500 million in the US) in 20 countries and territories, surveyed online in March 2026.

  • 33.9% of US finance and insurance businesses used AI in a business function in the past two weeks, against 19.8% of all US businesses, as of 3 May 2026.

    Source: US Census Bureau, Business Trends and Outlook Survey, May 2026. Biweekly, nationally representative survey of US businesses, data from December 2025 to May 2026.

How accurate AI is on financial documents

On the leading public benchmarks of expert finance work, the best AI models score between 69.5% and 77.4%. When models fail on annual reports, the largest single cause is retrieving the wrong passage, and 40% of deal professionals report hallucinated outputs leading to inaccurate diligence. Live leaderboards change often, so each figure carries the date it was last updated.

Best AI score on Vals AI's finance benchmarksShare of tasks scored correct
Best AI score on Vals AI's finance benchmarks
Excel modelling tasks77.38%
Credit agreement questions73.19%
Research over SEC filings69.47%
Financial modelling tasks57.0%

Source: Vals AI leaderboards: Excel Modeling Benchmark v1.1 and Finance Agent v2.1, updated 9 November 2026, and CorpFin v2, updated 12 August 2026.

  • The best AI model scored 69.47% on Vals AI's Finance Agent benchmark of entry-level analyst research tasks over SEC filings. On the benchmark's financial modelling tasks, the best score was 57.0%.

    Source: Vals AI, Finance Agent benchmark v2.1, leaderboard updated 9 November 2026. 449 questions in nine categories, scored with partial credit by a jury of three AI models.

  • The best AI model answered 73.19% of Vals AI's expert questions on credit agreements correctly. The agreements in the test often run past 200 pages.

    Source: Vals AI, CorpFin v2 benchmark, leaderboard updated 12 August 2026. 858 questions from 43 agreements. Vals AI has since stopped testing new models on it.

  • The best AI agent scored 77.38% on expert Excel modelling tasks such as LBO, DCF and data room summaries, each at least five hours of work for an expert. Vals AI reads high scores as substantial but incomplete work rather than client-ready deliverables.

    Source: Vals AI, Excel Modeling Benchmark v1.1, leaderboard updated 9 November 2026. 103 expert-written tasks. Workbooks recalculated in Excel before grading.

  • Retrieval problems caused 48.9% of the failures when 20 AI models answered questions from company annual reports, the largest single cause. The study attributes 44.7% of failures to comprehension errors and 9.1% to standalone hallucinations.

    Source: University of St. Gallen, Financial Touchstone v1.2, August 2026. 2,967 questions over 495 international annual reports. A workshop paper at FinLLM, IJCAI 2026.

  • AI models failed approximately 60% of realistic analyst tasks modelled on work at hedge funds, private equity firms and investment banks, and scored under 5% on questions that required their own assumptions.

    Source: AfterQuery, FinanceQA, January 2025. Tasks built on 10-K sections, graded by exact match.

  • GPT-4 Turbo with a shared retrieval system answered incorrectly or refused to answer 81% of questions about public-company filings, mostly through refusals. With the whole filing in its context window it answered 79% correctly.

    Source: Patronus AI, Contextual AI and Stanford, FinanceBench, November 2023. 150 sample questions over filings of 40 US-listed companies, 2,400 answers reviewed by hand. These are 2023 models.

Needl.ai's OfficeQA Pro study

In our OfficeQA Pro study, published in July 2026, AskNeedl answered the benchmark's 133 questions over 89,000 pages of U.S. Treasury Bulletins in raw PDF. Against the strongest baseline agent in the original benchmark paper, it was more accurate, faster and cheaper.

  • 16.5pts

    More accurate at the benchmark's exact-match threshold, where no rounding is allowed

  • 13×

    Faster per question, from question to answer

  • 4.6×

    Cheaper per question, in model cost

AskNeedl's result is also 6.8 points above the best reported frontier result, Claude Fable 5, reported by Databricks in June 2026. OfficeQA Pro was built by Databricks AI Research and published in March 2026: 133 questions over U.S. Treasury Bulletins spanning nearly 100 years, with over 26 million numerical values.

Read our technical white paper

What AI does to analyst productivity

Controlled studies find large gains on well-defined tasks: consultants using GPT-4 finished 25.1% faster with higher quality, and professionals wrote 40% faster. The gains shrink once output has to be checked. In OpenAI's GDPval study, counting review time cut the speed gain from about 90 times to between 1.12 and 1.39 times, and Danish workers who adopted chatbots reported saving about 3% of their hours.

How much faster GPT-5 was than expertsOpenAI's GDPval study, times faster
How much faster GPT-5 was than experts
Output used as isAbout 90×
Review and rework counted1.12× to 1.39×

Source: OpenAI (Patwardhan et al.), GDPval, October 2025.

  • Consultants using GPT-4 completed 12.2% more tasks and finished them 25.1% faster, with significantly higher quality, on tasks within the model's capability. On a task outside it, they were 19% less likely to reach a correct solution.

    Source: Dell'Acqua et al., Harvard Business School and BCG, Navigating the Jagged Technological Frontier, Organization Science, March 2026. Preregistered experiment with 758 BCG consultants using 2023-era GPT-4.

  • Customer support agents with a generative AI assistant resolved 15% more issues per hour on average, and less experienced agents 30% more. The most skilled agents saw small gains in speed and small declines in quality.

    Source: Brynjolfsson, Li and Raymond, Generative AI at Work, Quarterly Journal of Economics, February 2025. 5,172 agents at a Fortune 500 business software firm, with a staggered rollout of the assistant.

  • Professionals using ChatGPT took 40% less time on writing tasks, and the quality of their output rose 18%.

    Source: Noy and Zhang, Experimental evidence on the productivity effects of generative artificial intelligence, Science, July 2023. Preregistered experiment with 453 college-educated professionals on short occupation-specific writing tasks.

  • Expert graders rated 47.6% of Claude Opus 4.1's deliverables as better than or as good as work by industry professionals, across 220 tasks in 44 occupations, including financial and investment analysts.

    Source: OpenAI (Patwardhan et al.), GDPval, October 2025. Blind grading by occupational experts. Run by a model developer.

  • Used naively, GPT-5 was about 90 times faster than the experts in the same study. Once the time to review and redo its work was counted, the gain fell to between 1.12 and 1.39 times faster.

    Source: OpenAI (Patwardhan et al.), GDPval, October 2025. Experts took an average of 404 minutes per task and 109 minutes to review a model's output.

  • Equity research reports linked to FactSet's generative AI drew on 26% more distinct information sources, covered 24% more topics and used 21% more analytical methods. Relative forecast accuracy fell when analysts faced heavier information-processing demands.

    Source: Xue, Zhang and Zhu, Generative AI and sell-side research (working paper), September 2026. 162,862 US equity research reports, January 2022 to October 2024. Citing FactSet stands in for AI exposure. Actual use is not observed.

  • 58% of sell-side analysts use AI at least a little, 55% cite concerns about accuracy or bias, and fewer than 3% use it mainly to build independent forecasts.

    Source: Christ, Kim and Yip, Capco Journal of Financial Transformation, issue 61, September 2025. Survey of 190 analysts at 140 firms.

  • Workers who adopted AI chatbots reported saving about 3% of their work hours, and the study rules out effects on earnings or hours larger than 2%.

    Source: Humlum and Vestergaard, NBER Working Paper 33777, revised March 2026. 25,000 workers in 7,000 Danish workplaces across 11 occupations, including accountants and financial advisers.

  • Financial planning and analysis teams spent 75% of their time gathering data and administering processes, down from 77% in 2010.

    Source: AFP and APQC, Five practices of highly effective FP&A teams, July 2019. Survey of more than 400 FP&A professionals, November 2018 to March 2019, before generative AI.

AI risk, governance and regulation

Regulators and firms see data security and provider concentration as the main AI risks in finance: the top three model providers account for 54% of UK financial firms' model relationships, and information security is the leading constraint on third-party AI. Inside firms, 48% of employees report uploading company information into public AI tools. The EU AI Act has applied since August 2026, with its high-risk rules from December 2027.

Third-party AI in UK financial firmsShare of reported AI systems

20242026

Third-party AI in UK financial firms
All AI systems33%39%
High-materiality systems35%53%

Source: Bank of England and FCA, Artificial intelligence in UK financial services 2026, October 2026.

  • The Financial Stability Board names four AI-related vulnerabilities that could raise systemic risk: third-party dependencies and provider concentration, market correlations, cyber risks, and model risk, data quality and governance.

    Source: Financial Stability Board, The Financial Stability Implications of Artificial Intelligence, November 2024. From the FSB's press release on the report.

  • In its first AI washing cases, in March 2024, the SEC settled charges against two investment advisers, Delphia and Global Predictions, for false claims about their use of AI, with $400,000 in total civil penalties. Later actions include a settled case against Presto Automation in January 2025.

    Source: US Securities and Exchange Commission, Press release 2024-36, March 2024. Settled charges, with civil penalties of $225,000 and $175,000.

  • Under the EU's AI Omnibus, in force since 27 July 2026, the AI Act's rules for the high-risk systems listed in Annex III apply from 2 December 2027, and those for AI in regulated products from 2 August 2028. The rest of the Act has applied since 2 August 2026.

    Source: European Commission, AI Omnibus enters into force, July 2026. Prohibited practices have applied since 2 February 2025 and general-purpose AI rules since 2 August 2025.

  • 78% of AI users bring their own AI tools to work, and the share is 80% at small and medium-sized companies.

    Source: Microsoft and LinkedIn, 2024 Work Trend Index, May 2024. Survey of 31,000 knowledge workers in 31 markets across all industries, February to March 2024.

  • 48% of employees report uploading company information, such as financial, sales or customer data, into public AI tools, and only two in five say a policy guides their use of generative AI.

    Source: University of Melbourne and KPMG, Trust, attitudes and use of artificial intelligence: A global study 2025, April 2025. 48,340 people in 47 countries, 32,352 of them employees, surveyed November 2024 to January 2025, across all industries.

  • 82% of investment industry employers say a lack of standards hinders faster adoption of AI, and data privacy and security is the most commonly named biggest roadblock, cited by 16%.

    Source: CFA Institute, AI in the investment sector survey, August 2024. Survey of 200 employers in February 2024.

  • The top three model and API providers accounted for 54% of the model relationships UK financial firms reported, and the top three cloud and compute providers for 79% of cloud relationships. Third-party implementations made up 39% of reported AI systems and 53% of high-materiality ones, up from 33% and 35% in 2024.

    Source: Bank of England and FCA, Artificial intelligence in UK financial services 2026, October 2026. Survey of 196 firms, of which 105 completed the full survey. Published 26 October 2026.

  • Concerns about information security or operational resilience were the most common major constraint on adopting third-party AI, cited by 40% of UK financial firms, ahead of limited transparency into third-party systems at 34%. 42% see UK data protection and privacy rules as a high compliance burden.

    Source: Bank of England and FCA, Artificial intelligence in UK financial services 2026, October 2026. Survey of 196 firms, of which 105 completed the full survey. Published 26 October 2026.

  • 24% of UK financial firms rely on deep knowledge of the third-party AI systems they rate as high materiality, against 77% for systems built in-house. For third-party systems, 81% rely on vendor assurance and contracts instead.

    Source: Bank of England and FCA, Artificial intelligence in UK financial services 2026, October 2026. Survey of 196 firms, of which 105 completed the full survey. Published 26 October 2026.

  • 94% of UK financial firms have firmwide AI policies, principles or standards, and 84% have central AI or model risk governance forums. Ongoing monitoring, leakage testing and periodic review of AI data risks were each reported by about half.

    Source: Bank of England and FCA, Artificial intelligence in UK financial services 2026, October 2026. Survey of 196 firms, of which 105 completed the full survey. Published 26 October 2026.

  • 80% of financial services leaders name data privacy and security as one of the AI risks that concern them most, ahead of legal, intellectual property and regulatory compliance at 55%. 85% of their organisations are increasing AI investment.

    Source: Deloitte, State of AI in the Financial Services Industry: The untapped edge, March 2026. 573 director-level to C-suite respondents in financial services, part of a survey of 3,235 leaders in 24 countries, August to September 2025.

How much work a deal's diligence involves

A data room for a mid-sized deal now holds thousands of files, about 6,600 for a $100 million to $500 million deal on one platform. Diligence runs for months, and nearly half of US private equity dealmakers report longer deal timelines than six months ago. The data room figures come from the vendors' own platforms.

Median time in diligence, third quarter of 2026Days, deals on Datasite's platform
Median time in diligence, third quarter of 2026
Asia Pacific235 days
Americas171 days
Global170 days
EMEA155 days

Source: Datasite, 3Q26 M&A activity data, October 2026.

  • A data room for a $100 million to $500 million deal held about 6,622 files and 109 users. For a $50 million to $100 million deal it was about 3,325 files, and for a $1 million to $50 million deal about 1,206.

    Source: Peony, State of M&A Data Rooms, Q3 2026, October 2026. 733 transactions on Peony's own data room platform, Q3 2025 to Q3 2026. Rounded per-deal benchmarks.

  • Deal teams spent an average of 237 hours in the data room per deal in the first half of 2026, up from 219 hours a year earlier.

    Source: Ideals, M&A Mid-Year Review 2026, August 2026. Deals closed through the Ideals data room in the first half of 2026. Sample size not disclosed.

  • The global median diligence time was 170 days in the third quarter of 2026, down from 174 days a year earlier: 235 days in Asia Pacific, 171 in the Americas and 155 in EMEA.

    Source: Datasite, 3Q26 M&A activity data, October 2026. Anonymised data on projects started on Datasite's platform from 1 July to 30 September 2026.

  • Deals closed in the first half of 2026 took an average of 253 days from start to close, about 4% shorter than a year earlier and the shortest since 2022.

    Source: Ideals, M&A Mid-Year Review 2026, August 2026. Deals closed through the Ideals data room in the first half of 2026.

  • 49% of US private equity dealmakers reported longer deal timelines than six months earlier, against 16% who reported faster execution.

    Source: KPMG, 2026 Mid-Year M&A Survey: Private Equity M&A Dealmakers, August 2026. Online survey of 150 US private equity investment committee members.

  • 42% of US mid-market business leaders named the length or complexity of due diligence as a barrier to completing deals, and 52% named the quality or completeness of the target's financials.

    Source: Grant Thornton, Why seller readiness could shape the next M&A wave, May 2026. 185 US respondents with revenue of $100 million to $4 billion, from the Q1 2026 International Business Report survey.

What diligence misses

Issues that diligence does not catch surface after signing, in disputes, price adjustments and insurance claims. In one 2026 survey, nearly half of M&A professionals named due diligence issues as the most common process factor in the year's disputes.

Due diligence issues as the top factor in M&A disputesShare of M&A professionals
Due diligence issues as the top factor in M&A disputes
2024 disputes37%
2025 disputes46%

Source: BRG, M&A Disputes Report 2026, March 2026.

  • 46% of M&A professionals named due diligence issues as the most prevalent contract or process factor in 2025 M&A disputes, up from 37% a year earlier.

    Source: BRG, M&A Disputes Report 2026, March 2026. Anonymous survey of 203 lawyers, private equity professionals and corporate finance advisers, fielded in November 2025. Respondents could choose more than one factor.

  • 81% of the professionals in the same survey said their involvement in M&A disputes rose in 2025.

    Source: BRG, M&A Disputes Report 2026, March 2026. 203 respondents across four regions.

  • About 29% of private-target deals saw the buyer's initial purchase price adjustment calculation disputed after closing.

    Source: SRS Acquiom, 2026 M&A Working Capital Purchase Price Adjustment Study, December 2025. More than 1,570 private-target deals worth over $385 billion, closed from 2020 to Q3 2025, on which SRS Acquiom worked.

  • About 18% of representations and warranties insurance policies bound from 2019 to 2023 have had at least one claim notification. Breaches of financial statement warranties account for 38% of paid losses.

    Source: Aon, 2026 Transaction Solutions Global Claims Study, 2026. Aon's own anonymised database of more than 2,000 claims.

  • 33% of private equity GPs said diligence red flags, such as earnings quality or customer churn that did not hold up, were the top reason deals they pursued did not close in 2025. A valuation gap of more than 10% was cited by 36% and being outbid by 25%.

    Source: Bain & Company and StepStone, Private Equity's Reality Check: The GP Outlook for 2026, March 2026. 103 investment and investor relations professionals, mostly in North America and Europe, surveyed from December 2025 to January 2026.

  • 3.1% of US public-target deals announced in 2025 were terminated, against 1.6% in 2024. The median target termination fee was 2.7% of transaction value, and 56.3% of deals carried a reverse termination fee.

    Source: Houlihan Lokey, 2025 Transaction Termination Fee Study, June 2026. 160 US public-target transactions announced in 2025, above $50 million, with a disclosed fee.

How buyers protect themselves after signing

Buyers lean on contract protection for what diligence cannot settle. Earnouts appear in about a quarter of private-target deals, sellers collect about one in five potential earnout dollars, and a majority of deals now reference representations and warranties insurance.

Median total escrow in 2025Share of transaction value
Median total escrow in 2025
Deals without R&W insurance11.1%
All deals10.0%
Deals with R&W insurance2.8%

Source: SRS Acquiom, Six Key Findings from the 2026 M&A Deal Terms Study, May 2026.

  • Earnouts appeared in 24% of private-target deals in 2025, excluding life sciences, against a historical norm closer to 15%. Among US private equity buyers the share was also 24%, against 13% from 2014 to 2022.

    Source: SRS Acquiom, M&A Earnout and Milestone Trends, May 2026. More than 2,300 private-target deals worth $569 billion, closed from 2020 to 2025.

  • Sellers received about one in five potential earnout dollars, roughly 21% of the maximum, and 59% of earnout deals paid something.

    Source: SRS Acquiom, M&A Earnout and Milestone Trends, May 2026. Payments to date on 100 deals closed from 2021 to mid-2024, from SRS Acquiom's 2024 claims data.

  • The median total escrow in 2025 was 10.0% of transaction value: 11.1% in deals without representations and warranties insurance and 2.8% in deals with it.

    Source: SRS Acquiom, Six Key Findings from the 2026 M&A Deal Terms Study, May 2026. Private-target deals in SRS Acquiom's 2026 Deal Terms Study.

  • 63% of private-target acquisition agreements referenced representations and warranties insurance, up from 55% in the previous study.

    Source: American Bar Association, Private Target Mergers and Acquisitions Deal Points Study, Business Law Today, December 2025. 139 agreements executed or completed in 2024 or the first quarter of 2025, valued at $25 million to $900 million. Referenced does not mean a policy was bound.

  • Marsh placed a record $91.6 billion of transactional risk insurance limits globally in 2025, up 34%, across more than 3,800 policies. North American primary representations and warranties rates rose 16%.

    Source: Marsh, 2025 Global Transactional Risk Insurance Report, March 2026. Marsh's own placements only.

Private equity in 2025 and 2026

Buyout deal value rebounded in 2025, up 44% to $904 billion, while the backlog of unsold portfolio companies reached about 32,000 worth $3.8 trillion and distributions to investors stayed at 14% of net asset value. Holding periods at exit now hover around seven years, and entry multiples in the US are level with the 2021 peak.

Buyout activity in 2025Global, US dollars
Buyout activity in 2025
Deal value$904bn, up 44%
Exit value$717bn, up 47%
Fundraising$395bn, down 16%

Source: Bain & Company, Global Private Equity Report 2026, February 2026.

  • Global buyout deal value rose 44% to $904 billion in 2025, while the number of deals fell 6% to 3,018.

    Source: Bain & Company, Global Private Equity Report 2026, February 2026. Dealogic data on buyouts, excluding add-ons, SPACs and loan-to-own deals.

  • Global buyout-backed exit value jumped 47% to $717 billion in 2025, while the number of exits fell 2% to 1,570.

    Source: Bain & Company, Global Private Equity Report 2026, February 2026. Dealogic data.

  • About 32,000 unsold companies worth $3.8 trillion sit in private equity portfolios.

    Source: Bain & Company, Global Private Equity Report 2026, February 2026. PitchBook and Preqin data. Value as of the second quarter of 2025.

  • Holding periods at exit hover around seven years, and almost 40% of portfolio companies have been held for more than five years, up from 29% in 2019.

    Source: Bain & Company, Global Private Equity Report 2026, February 2026. Buyout-backed companies.

  • Global buyout dry powder stands at $1.3 trillion, and it is getting older.

    Source: Bain & Company, Global Private Equity Report 2026, February 2026. Preqin data, buyout funds, as of the second quarter of 2025.

  • Buyout fundraising fell 16% to $395 billion in 2025, while total private capital raised was flat at about $1.3 trillion.

    Source: Bain & Company, Global Private Equity Report 2026, February 2026. Preqin data on funds that held a final close.

  • Distributions from buyout funds stayed at 14% of net asset value, below 15% for the fourth year running.

    Source: Bain & Company, Global Private Equity Report 2026, February 2026. MSCI data on buyout funds, Q4 2024 to Q3 2025.

  • Global private equity investment reached $1.5 trillion in the first nine months of 2026, on pace for the third-best year on record, while deal volume was on pace for the slowest year since 2020.

    Source: KPMG, Pulse of Private Equity Q3'26, October 2026. PitchBook data as of 30 September 2026, including add-ons and growth deals, so not comparable with buyout-only figures.

  • US private equity deal value totalled $461 billion in the first half of 2026, down 10.6% on the first half of 2025.

    Source: PitchBook, Q2 2026 US PE Breakdown, July 2026. All US private equity deals, including PitchBook estimates.

  • The median US buyout entry multiple closed 2025 at 12.5 times EV/EBITDA, up from 9 times in 2015 and level with the 2021 peak.

    Source: PitchBook, Q2 2026 US PE Breakdown, July 2026. Median multiples from SPI by StepStone.

  • Secondary market volume reached a first-half record of $118 billion in 2026, up 15%, and GP-led deals made up $62 billion of it.

    Source: Jefferies, Global Secondary Market Review, July 2026. Jefferies' own transactions plus public transactions it did not advise on.

M&A markets and merger review

Global M&A reached $4.6 trillion in 2025, the highest since 2021, and sponsor-backed M&A hit a record $891 billion in the first nine months of 2026. Deal counts fell even as values rose, and significant US merger reviews averaged a record 12.3 months in 2025.

Deal projects reaching completion, third quarter of 2026Share of projects on Datasite's platform
Deal projects reaching completion, third quarter of 2026
Asia Pacific56%
Americas54%
Global49%
EMEA39%

Source: Datasite, 3Q26 M&A activity data, October 2026.

The private credit market

Private credit reached $4.1 trillion in assets at the end of 2025, and fundraising in the first half of 2026 was the strongest in five years. The market now draws on semi-liquid funds, insurers and bank credit lines, and its borrowers are smaller and more leveraged than those in syndicated loans.

Private credit borrowers against leveraged loan borrowersEach measure on its own scale

Private creditLeveraged loans

Private credit borrowers against leveraged loan borrowers
Median leverage5.0×3.2×
Median revenue$223M$902M
Average interest cover2.2×3.7×

Source: Federal Reserve Board, FEDS Notes, Private credit and leveraged loan markets: similarities, differences and substitution, August 2026.

Private credit risk signals

Headline default indexes stay in the low single digits, but the measures below them show where a lender's diligence and monitoring need to look: payment-in-kind interest, amendments, non-accruals, covenant defaults and falling recoveries.

Covenant default rate on private market loansSize-weighted, Lincoln Private Market Index
Covenant default rate on private market loans
Six-year average3.8%
Q2 20262.7%
Q3 20262.5%

Source: Lincoln International, Lincoln Private Market Index, Q3 2026, November 2026.

  • Proskauer's private credit default index stood at 2.41% in the third quarter of 2026, down from 2.51% in the second quarter.

    Source: Proskauer, Private Credit Default Index, Q3 2026, October 2026. 746 US senior secured and unitranche loans with $205.7 billion of original principal.

  • Payment-in-kind interest featured in 10% of private market loans in the third quarter of 2026. In 6% of all loans it was "bad PIK", added after a deal that closed without PIK.

    Source: Lincoln International, Lincoln Private Market Index, Q3 2026, November 2026. Lincoln's valuation data on about 2,200 private companies.

  • Payment-in-kind interest has risen to roughly 8% of public BDCs' gross investment income, from about 5.5% in 2021.

    Source: Moody's Ratings, Private credit risk: Four signals below the headline, September 2026. Public business development companies.

  • 10.6% of loans in private credit managers' portfolios had a significant amendment, such as a payment holiday, a maturity change, a covenant change or a PIK amendment, down from 11.65% in 2024.

    Source: AIMA and the Alternative Credit Council, Financing the Economy 2026, October 2026. Survey of private credit managers.

  • 21% of the direct lending deals Proskauer closed in 2025 were covenant-lite, and 91% of those were for borrowers with EBITDA above $50 million.

    Source: Proskauer, 15th Annual Private Credit Insights Report, February 2026. More than 450 deals for about 120 sponsors closed in 2025, worth $123.6 billion.

  • Median non-accrual investments at KBRA-rated BDCs rose to 2.75% of investments at cost in the second quarter of 2026, from 1.81% in the first quarter.

    Source: KBRA, BDC Ratings Compendium: Second-Quarter 2026, September 2026. 35 rated BDCs. Perpetual-life BDCs excluded from the median.

  • The size-weighted covenant default rate on private market loans was 2.5% in the third quarter of 2026, down from 2.7% in the second quarter and below the six-year average of 3.8%.

    Source: Lincoln International, Lincoln Private Market Index, Q3 2026, November 2026. Lincoln's valuation data on about 2,200 private companies.

  • Implied recoveries on restructured direct loans fell to 45 cents on the dollar in 2025, from 51 cents in 2024. Loans that had paid some interest in kind recovered 41.6 cents, against 52.6 cents for the rest.

    Source: KBRA DLD, PIK Loans Drag Implied Recoveries: KBRA DLD Direct Lending Index, April 2026. Implied recovery measured at the point of restructuring. Sample size not stated.

  • About $287 billion of US leveraged loans mature in 2028, and about half of it was issued by borrowers rated B-minus or lower.

    Source: PitchBook LCD, US Private Credit & Middle Market Quarterly Wrap, Q4 2025, January 2026. Syndicated leveraged loans only. Private loans are excluded.

  • The spread gap between syndicated and direct lending buyout loans narrowed to 146 basis points in 2026 so far, the narrowest since 2019.

    Source: PitchBook LCD, US Private Credit Monitor, July 2026, July 2026. Direct lending means senior secured first-lien and unitranche loans. Data as of 31 July 2026.

How we choose and update these figures

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Cite this page

Needl.ai, AI Due Diligence Statistics (2026), updated 10 November 2026, https://needl.ai/ai-due-diligence-statistics

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Frequently asked questions

The questions deal teams ask about these numbers.

What is AI due diligence?

AI due diligence is the use of AI agents to read a deal's data room, check the financial model against the documents, flag risks and draft findings that link to their evidence. Deal teams use it to cover the whole room and spend their time reviewing cited findings. On Needl.ai's AI Due Diligence, a first-pass assessment is ready around 30 minutes after the data room is loaded.

How many private equity firms use AI in due diligence?

Most deal teams now use AI somewhere in diligence. In a 2026 study by SS&C Intralinks and Reuters, 84% of 400 senior deal professionals used AI in early-stage or outside-in diligence and 78% in confirmatory diligence. In KPMG's 2026 survey, 56% of organisations deployed agentic AI in due diligence and valuation. Measured returns lag adoption: 24% of private equity leaders in Grant Thornton's survey reported revenue growth from AI.

How many financial firms use AI?

Most financial institutions now do. In the Bank of England and FCA's 2026 survey, 86% of UK financial firms used AI, up from 75% in 2024. More than 90% of banks supervised directly by the ECB use it, and 95% of alternative fund managers in AIMA's survey use generative AI. US Census data, which cover businesses of every size, show 33.9% of finance and insurance businesses using AI, against 19.8% overall.

How many files are in an M&A data room?

It depends on the size of the deal. On Peony's data room platform, a $1 million to $50 million deal room held about 1,206 files, a $50 million to $100 million room about 3,325 and a $100 million to $500 million room about 6,622, across 733 deals from the third quarter of 2025 to the third quarter of 2026. Those rooms had from about 29 to 109 users.

How long does due diligence take?

Median diligence time on Datasite's platform was 170 days in the third quarter of 2026, from 155 days in EMEA to 235 days in Asia Pacific. Deals closed through the Ideals data room in the first half of 2026 took an average of 253 days from start to close. In KPMG's mid-year survey, 49% of US private equity dealmakers reported longer timelines than six months earlier.

How accurate is AI at reading financial documents?

On Vals AI's Finance Agent benchmark of analyst research tasks over SEC filings, the best model scored 69.47% as of 9 November 2026, and the best score on its credit agreement benchmark was 73.19%. Finding the right passage matters most: in an August 2026 study of annual reports, retrieval caused 48.9% of failures. In our OfficeQA Pro study, Needl.ai's AskNeedl was 16.5 points more accurate than the strongest baseline agent in the benchmark paper.

How big is the private credit market?

The Alternative Credit Council puts global private credit assets at $4.1 trillion at the end of 2025, after growth of 17% for the second year in a row, a figure that includes real estate, asset-based and infrastructure debt. The Federal Reserve puts private credit loans to US businesses at about $1.5 trillion at the end of 2025. The two measure different things, so they are not directly comparable.

How do lawyers use AI in legal due diligence?

Most lawyers now use AI in review work. In Wolters Kluwer's 2026 survey, 92% of legal professionals used at least one AI tool, and 74% of the Thomson Reuters Institute's generative AI users apply it to document review. The output still needs checking: in a Stanford study, leading legal research tools hallucinated on 17% to 33% of queries, and in Vals AI's study lawyers beat every tool on redlining.

What are the risks of using AI in due diligence?

The two most cited are wrong answers and company data leaving the firm. 40% of senior deal professionals in a 2026 SS&C Intralinks study reported hallucinated AI outputs that led to inaccurate diligence. 48% of employees in a global study by the University of Melbourne and KPMG report uploading company information into public AI tools, and UK financial firms name information security as the leading constraint on third-party AI.

How much time does AI save analysts?

It depends on how much of the output has to be checked. In controlled studies, consultants using GPT-4 finished tasks 25.1% faster and professionals wrote 40% faster. In OpenAI's GDPval study, counting the time to review and redo AI work cut the speed gain from about 90 times to between 1.12 and 1.39 times. Legal professionals expect AI to free up nearly 240 hours a year each.

How often does due diligence stop a deal?

In a 2026 survey by Bain and StepStone, 33% of private equity GPs said diligence red flags, such as earnings quality or customer churn that did not hold up, were the top reason a deal they pursued did not close in 2025. A valuation gap of more than 10% was cited by 36%. Among US public-target deals announced in 2025, 3.1% were terminated, up from 1.6% in 2024, according to Houlihan Lokey.

How big is the private equity market?

Global buyout deal value rose 44% to $904 billion in 2025, according to Bain, and buyout funds hold $1.3 trillion of dry powder. Exits lag behind: about 32,000 unsold companies worth $3.8 trillion sit in private equity portfolios, and distributions stayed at 14% of net asset value. KPMG puts global private equity investment at $1.5 trillion in the first nine months of 2026.

Can I use these statistics?

Yes. You can quote any figure on this page with a link to the page or to the original source, which is named and linked beside each figure. We keep each publisher's own wording and definitions and date every figure. The Needl.ai team reviews the page every quarter. To suggest a figure or report an error, contact us.

See AI due diligence on your own data room

Bring a data room from a past deal. We will run Needl.ai on it with your team and walk through the findings, each linked to the passage it came from.